Ricardo Hausmann, a former minister of planning of Venezuela, is a professor
of economics at Harvard University
Français
Peter Drucker, the influential management guru, famously said, “What does not get measured, does not get done.” He might have added that what gets measured poorly gets done poorly.
Consider low-income housing. Most developing countries, and many rich ones, define their housing deficit according to the number of families living in units deemed socially unacceptable. But what is meant by unacceptable varies greatly from country to country. Piped water, sewerage, and electricity are seen as essential in the Americas, but not in India.
Français
Peter Drucker, the influential management guru, famously said, “What does not get measured, does not get done.” He might have added that what gets measured poorly gets done poorly.
Consider low-income housing. Most developing countries, and many rich ones, define their housing deficit according to the number of families living in units deemed socially unacceptable. But what is meant by unacceptable varies greatly from country to country. Piped water, sewerage, and electricity are seen as essential in the Americas, but not in India.
The
problem is that people do not demand houses; they demand habitats. A
house is an object; a habitat is a node in a multiplicity of overlapping
networks – physical (power, water and sanitation, roads), economic
(urban transport, labor markets, distribution and retail, entertainment)
and social (education, health, security, family, friends). The ability
to connect to all of these networks makes a habitat valuable.
Cities,
for example, can be highly productive spaces, because they allow people
to combine their different skills to make things that none of them
could make individually. People can exchange their knowhow, learn from
each other, and trade. Jane Jacobs’s insights on this, published more that 40 years ago, have been confirmed by more recent studies summarized in books by Edward Glaeser and Enrico Moretti.
So,
if the deficit being measured is one of houses rather than one of
habitats, the solutions often do not solve the real problem. A housing
minister who is told to build a certain number of houses will likely
fail to build an equivalent number of well-connected habitat nodes.
After all, much of what makes a house a habitat lies outside of his
department’s purview.
Moreover,
if the housing deficit is diagnosed as a dearth of adequate housing,
then the solution is to build more houses for those who lack it – that
is, the poor. But this is like assuming that new cars should be built
for those without them – that is, for people who could buy second-hand
cars from those seeking to upgrade. It confuses the construction
industry, which builds new homes, with the much larger housing market, which includes all homes.
It
gets worse. Because the poor cannot buy adequate housing on their own,
public resources must be used. In order to target these subsidies to
low-income households, governments typically treat families of different
income levels differently: the rich must fend for themselves,
middle-class families are provided with assistance to secure mortgage
loans, and the poor are offered public housing. To maximize the number
of units built, housing ministries make sure that projects meet minimum
specifications below a certain per-unit cost threshold. As a result,
developers look for the cheapest land, which is obviously the least
connected to the networks that would make it more valuable.
This
approach has ended up exacerbating the segregation of the poor. It
artificially creates – as in France – socially homogenous poor
neighborhoods where the unskilled live among themselves, disconnected
from others, making it harder for them to benefit from the agglomeration
economies that would boost their productivity.
Indeed,
because many of these developments are so remote, residents often face a
long, uncomfortable, and costly daily commute to reach good jobs. No
wonder so many prefer to stay home and work on their own, which may
explain why so many developing countries are becoming more urbanized but
not more productive.
Confusing
the construction of new homes with the housing market is most absurd
when dealing with displaced families. For example, the Venezuelan and
Colombian governments were confronted with the need to relocate tens of
thousands of families displaced by floods in 2010. Although the two
governments are far apart politically, both promised the displaced
families new houses in new urban developments. In the meantime, people
were left for years waiting in shelters. And, once again, these new
urban developments have few of the networks that would make them a
habitat. The burden of creating integrated communities has been placed
on a randomly assembled group comprising some of the least connected
members of society.
Instead,
displaced families should quickly be given vouchers so that they can
obtain an appropriate home without delay. They are bound to choose older
homes in established neighborhoods that have already been connected to
the many networks that make them a habitat. Large new housing
developments should naturally attract those who already have ample
social connections, making it easier to kick-start more integrated
communities.
In order to
separate the problem of the overall housing deficit from the problem of
families with inadequate housing, policymakers need to address both
supply and demand. On the supply side, urban land – with all its
physical and social infrastructure – must expand quickly enough. On the
demand side, subsidies should focus on helping families choose from the
entire housing market.
This
approach would promote socially diverse and productive neighborhoods,
rather than segregation and pockets of economic stagnation. But this
goal cannot be achieved unless the construction industry is prevented
from dictating low-income-housing policy.
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