Navi Radjou is a Silicon Valley-based innovation and leadership adviser and winner of the 2013 Thinkers50 Innovation Award
Jaideep Prabhu is a professor at Cambridge
Judge Business School, University of Cambridge, and Director of the
Center for India & Global Business
In a famous 1937 essay,
the economist Ronald Coase argued that the reason Western economies are
organized like a pyramid, with a few large producers at the top and
millions of passive consumers below, is the existence of transaction
costs – the intangible costs associated with search, bargaining,
decision-making, and enforcement. But with the Internet, mobile
technologies, and social media all but eliminating such costs in many
sectors, this economic structure is bound to change.
Indeed,
in the United States and across Europe, vertically integrated value
chains controlled by large companies are already being challenged by new
consumer-orchestrated value ecosystems, which allow consumers to
design, build, market, distribute, and trade goods and services among
themselves, eliminating the need for intermediaries. This bottom-up
approach to value creation is enabled by the horizontal (or
peer-to-peer) networks and do-it-yourself (DIY) platforms that form the
foundation of the “frugal” economy.
Two key factors
are fueling the frugal economy’s growth: a protracted financial crisis,
which has weakened the purchasing power of middle-class consumers in
the West, and these consumers’ increasing sense of environmental
responsibility. Eager to save money and minimize their ecological
impact, Western consumers are increasingly eschewing individual
ownership in favor of shared access to products and services.
As it stands, nearly 50% of Europeans believe
that, within a decade, cars will be consumed as a “shared” good,
instead of privately owned, and 73% predict the rapid growth of
car-sharing services. BlaBlaCar, Europe’s leading car-sharing service,
now transports more passengers monthly than Eurostar, the high-speed
rail service connecting London with Paris and Brussels. And the
better-known service Uber is causing panic among taxi companies
worldwide. Despite recent controversy, the company, founded in 2009, is valued at more than $40 billion.
This
shift in consumer attitudes extends far beyond transport. The
peer-to-peer home-sharing service Airbnb now rents more room-nights
annually than the entire Hilton hotel chain. And the peer-to-peer
lending market, which bypasses banks and their hefty hidden fees,
surpassed the $1 billion mark in early 2012.
The
global market for shared products and services is expected to grow
dramatically, from $15 billion today to $335 billion by 2025, without
requiring any major investment. The European Commission predicts that peer-to-peer sharing, now an income booster in a stagnant labor market, will evolve into a disruptive economic force.
The
nature of horizontal networks supports this prediction. Such networks
begin working long before they reduce transaction costs. By enabling
ordinary people to do at home what, a decade ago, only scientists in
large labs could do, the Internet economy is lowering the costs of
research and development, design, and production of new goods and
services in many sectors.
Thanks to low-cost DIY hardware kits like the $25 Arduino or the $35 Raspberry Pi,
people are increasingly building their own consumer devices. Moreover,
customers can now design and manufacture industrial-caliber products by
using shared high-tech workshops – so-called “fab labs” – equipped with
CNC routers, laser cutters, and 3D printers.
Such
changes are propelling the so-called “maker movement”: a legion of
tinkerers who collectively can create products faster, better, and more
cheaply than big companies can. Together, the maker movement and
peer-to-peer sharing platforms are empowering once-passive customers to
become active “prosumers,” thereby spawning a frugal economy that can
create value in a more efficient, cost-effective, socially inclusive,
and environmentally sustainable way.
Recognizing
these benefits, some communities are actively supporting the maker
movement and accelerating the development of frugal economies. For
example, mayors of major cities – including New York, Tokyo, Rome,
Santiago, and Oslo – are seeking to host Maker Faires, where ordinary citizens showcase their ingenuity and engage with other makers.
Last June, US President Barack Obama hosted the first White House Maker Faire – declaring that “Today’s DIY is tomorrow’s ‘Made in America’”
– and appointed a senior adviser to determine how to turn the maker
movement into an engine of US economic growth. And New York City Mayor
Bill de Blasio, who proclaimed September 15-21, 2014, “Maker Week,” and Barcelona Mayor Xavier Trias, who wants to build a “Fab City,” are trying to put their cities at the forefront of the global maker movement.
Meanwhile,
in Vauban – a neighborhood in the German city of Freiburg – 65% of
electricity is produced by solar panels and a co-generation plant
established and operated by local citizens. And Helsinki is building a
“mobility on demand” system that seamlessly combines multiple shared-
and public-transport services in a single payment network, with the goal
of eliminating private car ownership by 2025.
A
self-organizing frugal economy could generate billions of dollars in
value and create millions of jobs in the medium term. But, of course,
there will be losers: the large Western companies whose “more for more”
business models, backed by huge R&D budgets and closed
organizational structures, are not designed to serve the needs of
cost-conscious and eco-aware consumers seeking more – and better – for
less. In order to survive, these established companies will need to
reinvent themselves as frugal enterprises that integrate digitally
empowered “prosumers” into their value chains and strive to address
market needs in a more eco-efficient and cost-effective way.
The transition to a frugal economy is happening. Traditional companies must get on board – or risk becoming obsolete.
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